Arsenal didn’t begin the season as one of the favorites to win the Premier League, but after their first 12 games of the season, they are in first place. Could they go on to win the league this season?
Can Arsenal Win The Premier League In 2022?
Arsenal has continued to improve during Mikel Arteta’s tenure. At the start of his time as the team’s manager, they finished eighth in back-to-back seasons, but last season they improved to fifth, and a good summer transfer window gave confidence to the team that they could finish in the top four of the Premier League this season.
After their first 12 games of the Premier League season, Arsenal is unexpectedly in first place with 31 points. They are two points ahead of second-placed Manchester City, and five points ahead of Tottenham in third place who have played one more game than Arsenal. As a result, expectations are beginning to change for Arsenal, with some expecting them to now compete to win the league.
Arsenal’s Season So Far
The start of the season has been phenomenal for Arsenal. Of the 12 games the team has played, they have won 10 of them, losing one game and drawing one game.
Arsenal’s only loss of the season was on September 4 against Manchester United at Old Trafford. In that game, Arsenal appeared to take the lead with a Gabriel Martinelli goal in the 12th minute, but VAR decided the goal would not count and eventually Arsenal lost 3-1.
The only draw of the season for Arsenal so far came a few weeks ago on October 23. Arsenal drew 1-1 against Southampton on the road at St.Mary’s Stadium. Granit Xhaka gave Arsenal the lead, but a 65th-minute goal from Stuart Armstrong tied the game at 1-1. At the end of the game, Arsenal had 0.99 expected goals as compared to Southampton’s 0.67 but did not win the game.
Outside of those two games, Arsenal has played incredibly well. Their season began with five consecutive wins before the loss to Manchester United. After that, Arsenal won a further four consecutive Premier League games, and are unbeaten in their last six Premier League games.
At the same time, Arsenal performed extremely well in the Europa League. They finished first in their group in the competition, with their only loss of the group stage coming against PSV Eindhoven on October 27.
Arsenal has scored the second-most goals in the Premier League this season, 30, behind only Manchester City who has scored 37. Those two teams are the only ones who have scored more than 30 goals so far this season.
The goal-scoring success Arsenal has had is due to how they approach each game. Arsenal averages the fourth most possession per game, 58.1%, of any team in the Premier League. They are third in the league in expected goals overall, behind only Manchester City and Newcastle United.
The team’s success in expected goals from their ability to produce shots within each match. Arsenal is currently second in the Premier League in shots on goal per match, again behind only Manchester City. They are also within the top five of the league in big chances created, with 24 so far this season.
Arsenal’s defense has been excellent, with Arteta having fully implemented the defensive and pressing system he desires. As a result, the team has allowed the second-fewest expected goals in the Premier League, 11.0, behind Manchester City yet again.
Over the past few months, it has been clear that Arsenal’s confidence has continued to grow. After their first 12 games, it appears that Arsenal has positioned themselves as the main competition with Manchester City to win the Premier League.
Will Arsenal Go On to Win the Premier League?
There is one common trend among the statistics mentioned above, Arsenal frequently trails only one team, Manchester City, in most statistical categories.
Manchester City has been one of the best club teams in the world for the past several years, and that has continued at the start of this season. One more draw than Arsenal, and two fewer points, are the only reason Manchester City doesn’t lead the Premier League yet again this season.
However, while they aren’t leading the Premier League, Manchester City is likely still the favorite to win the league this season. They have scored four goals or more in five of their games this season, lead the league in goals scored, are tied for second in goals allowed, and lead the league in goal difference by seven goals.
Arsenal and Manchester City have not yet played each other because their game against each other scheduled for earlier this season was postponed. The first time the two teams play it will be a significant opportunity for Arsenal to show they can win the Premier League.
After the first 12 games of the season, Arsenal has established itself as one of the Premier League’s best teams. It will be interesting to see if they can continue to perform well and eventually win the league.
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